JP Morgan Secretly Stockpiles Silver and Gold—Blood Money

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Leave it to Max Keiser to pick up on the Silver Doctors article, titled, “Is JP Morgan Shorting Paper Metals While Acquiring Massive Physical Stockpiles?

If Keiser, who himself appears to have once been a clever and scheming juvenile delinquent, believes the article’s supposition reeks of the devil’s sulfur, there may be more than a sliver of truth in it.

The Silver Doctors cite Jim Sinclair, ‘Mr. Gold’, who has said two things which would most likely prove to be foolhardy not to believe.  One, that the Fed would embark on “QE to infinity.”  And, two, the bullion banks would amass the lion’s share of the bull market profits in the rise in gold and silver prices.

The first looks like a done deal.  The second will most likely pan out as well, which takes us back to the Silver Doctors article.

The ‘Doc’ goes on to quote, David R, a veteran bullion trader, who has traded at the desks at AIG, Barclays, and UBS.

They [JP Morgan] buy the physical silver at the same time they sell the future (on Comex) futures trade in contango (higher price than spot physical) they get zero interest rate cash from FED so borrow the money for free, they own the vaults to store the silver…. so as the future comes to maturity they can either settle against their physical long or roll the future to collect more free contango…. This is pure arbitrage paid for by the FED.  This has been going on for over 30 years and why shouldn’t they be allowed to have 25% of the Open Interest?  There is no manipulation because they are short the futures and long the physical and have “ZERO” price risk, but nice profits!  It’s brilliant trading and completely 100% legal and that’s why they will never be charged with manipulation because there is none going on. Sometimes it’s just that easy!

Of course, it’s that easy.  Banks make money on spreads on every damn thing they touch.  But as Ted Butler and the fine folks at GATA have argued: when a single trader becomes dominate within a single market, it’s size, alone, affects price discovery.  That is, indeed, illegal, going back to the late 19th century—a time when the U.S. faced some of the nasty side-effects of an industrial revolution gone unfettered.

The man who fought the monopolists of the early 20th century, armed with the Sherman Anti-Trust Act of 1890, Teddy Roosevelt, must be rolling in his grave at the suggestion that JP Morgan’s “brilliant trading” is “perfectly legal,” as trader David R. suggests.  In fact, there’s nothing brilliant about JP Morgan’s criminal activity in the bullion markets.  The scam is not new; it’s as old as the hills.

According to Wikipedia, the lead author of the Sherman Anti-trust Act, Ohio Republican Senator John Sherman said the purpose of the Act was “to protect the consumers by preventing arrangements designed, or which tend, to advance the cost of goods to the consumer.”

In the case of the silver market, the cost to the consumer is inflation—in everything, especially in those things consumed each day for survival.  If the bullion markets are suppressed to give the U.S. dollar an advantage over the competition—bullion, the Fed can create more dollars, thereby forcing holders of the commodity (the dollar) to take a purchasing-power loss.

And with the latest mortality statistic revealing that more deaths in America come from suicide than from the result of an automobile accident, one must have to wonder how many of these suicides were the result of extraordinary bad economic times.

Another author of the Act, Senator George Hoar of Massachusetts, said, an entity that “merely by superior skill and intelligence…got the whole business because nobody could do it as well as he could was not a monopolist …(but was if) it involved something like the use of means which made it impossible for other persons to engage in fair competition.”

By the way, after the 1890 U.S. Senate ratified the Sherman Anti-Trust Act by a vote of 51-1, the House unanimously passed the bill with a vote of 242-0 on Jun. 20, 1890.

Can anyone image today’s Congress taking such a stand against the largest cancerous tumor of them all, JP Morgan?  Of course not.  Maybe Gerald Celente’s latest suggestion to boycott the upcoming general election is as good as Max Keiser’s suggestion to buy as much silver as one can.

The bottom line to the JP Morgan bullion prices suppression scheme is, if bullion prices reflected the weakness of the U.S. dollar, the Fed would have to stop printing them.  Congress would be forced to make the tough decisions regarding the public account, and the wrongs can be righted more quickly with less, much, much less pain—and most likely less suicides, too.

It’s been said, “Evil knows no boundaries.”  That evil is the Fed’s no. 1 stockholder, JP Morgan.  How Alan Greenspan, Jamie Dimon, Robert Rubin, Lloyd Blankfein and the other Den of Thieves can sleep at night is another puzzle for another time.  There’s a lot of blood on their hands, and for one, Blankfein, appears to have no idea why his hands are stained red.  What an anthropomorphic example of a living and thriving cancer.

God have mercy on these pathetic and perfect examples of humanity’s worst.

Fed Floods Market with Fake Gold, the Latest Hurdle for Gold Investors

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Tungsten-filled 10-ounce gold bars suddenly have appeared at some of the finest dealers of Manhattan.

No doubt, beginner investors who seek to purchase real money, a real asset, the ultimate safety, have had to overcome decades of carefully orchestrated financial propaganda from the Fed, Washington and academia.  ‘They’ say, the dollar is good, and gold is just a rock, a silly anachronism and an asset useful only to persecuted WWII-vintage Jews.

Then, having cleared the propaganda hurdle, the new class of awakened investors have had to somehow research the gold market long enough to maybe run into articles which discuss the accusations of fraud riddled throughout the paper gold aspect of the market and the manipulation scheme perpetrated by JP Morgan.

What appeared to be an easy way out of the dollar, through a click of a mouse and a few bucks commission on the Scottrade website, may turn out to be more dangerous than holding a debauching currency.

Enter, stage right, comes Jeff Christian, who assures investors that the paper market is on the up-and-up.  The debate between GATA and Jeff Christian kept some investors out of the line to take delivery of real metal, forestalling a bit longer the inevitable and coming stampede into the gold market.

Was GATA an organization spewing ‘conspiracy theories about a gold cartel?

Christian, a suspected shill for the gold cartel, argued that GATA was seeing things, imagining dark-hat bankers ripping off the public with un-backed gold ETFs and bogus short sales of the metal in the futures market.

The case of Andrew Maguire and the CFTC investigation into JP Morgan proves beyond a reasonable doubt that Christian is either a liar, an incompetent or a shill for the Fed.

Christian leaves the stage and CFTC’s Bart Chilton enters.  Chilton, the corn-fed, boy-next-door kind of guy, who grows up to become a heroic fighter of corruption in the financial markets, is the perfect character for the next act to Christian’s ‘Gaslight’ performance.

And the tangible results of the so-called Eliot Ness of Wall Street?  Nothing.  Nearly three years after the CFTC hearings and investigation into JP Morgan, Chilton comes up with zip, furthering the con of the U.S. dollar.  Chilton is now quiet.  He’s done his job for the Fed.  He may leave now.

Now, the poor, confused investor hears that the Fed’s QE-to-infinity policy will further debase the U.S. dollar.  Even some of the ‘big boys’ have come out with recommendations to buy gold.  PIMCO’s Bill Gross and Bridgewater Associate’s Ray Dalio have gone public recently to counter Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger and Bill Gates, the con-job trio billionaire shills for the Fed.

Is it time to buy some physical?  Even the big boys think it’s a good idea.

But wait, the circulation of phony gold bars hits the news, and the companies selling the bars are, of course, the most reputable walk-in retailers of New York.

And the timing of news of the tungsten-filled gold bars couldn’t come at a most fortuitous time for the Fed.  The most recent announcement of QE3-to-infinity policy from Bernanke & Company is a downright admission that the U.S. economy is not responding to previous QEs, unprecedented levels of ‘currency swaps’ and a reflation of the over-the-counter derivatives market.

The Fed needs more help pushing the mob away from gold, because there isn’t enough gold to back all the paper promises saturated throughout the banking system.

“We’re getting closer and closer to the big disclosure that the banksters have stolen the gold, and now they’re flooding the market with fake gold,” TruNews radio host Rick Wiles tells his listening audience of Sept. 24.

Is Wiles spreading another ‘conspiracy theory’?  Let’s ask Christian what he thinks.  Let’s see if Chilton will recommend to the U.S. State Department that it shut down the Chinese company that’s been alleged to have made the phony bars.  Let’s see if Warren Buffett has anything to say.

Dollar Reaches “Pre-Avalanche Moment”; Gold $7,000, Jim Rickards

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Speaking with Max Keiser’s On the Edge, Currency Wars author Jim Rickards says, the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the Fed’s response to the crisis convinced China to no longer trust the United States and the dollar-based reserve scheme.

In the past, the thinking among the world’s central banks focused upon the dollar as an anchor for relative valuations of other currencies trading against it.  That was a bad idea, according to Rickards.

“We trust the United States to maintain the value of the dollar, so we’ll anchor it [other currencies] to the dollar,” he says.  “That trust was misplaced, beginning, really, around 2010.

“The United Sates decided, as a matter of policy, to trash the dollar.  The Chinese made one enormous blunder; they actually trusted the United States to the tune of $3 trillion of assets to maintain the value of the dollar.

“China’s learning the hard way that you really can’t trust the United States anymore.”

After that breach of trust, following the Fed completed round of its first QE program, it became clear to the Chinese, according to Rickards, that the Fed intends to devalue the world’s reserve currency and the $3 trillion of U.S. paper it bought as the mechanism of maintaining a competitively cheap yuan against the dollar.

“The Chinese, you know, they don’t want to be the suckers at the poker table.  the United States put enormous pressure on China to allow the yuan to appreciate a little bit against the dollar, which it did in 2011.”

Since then, evidence shows the PRC has responding to the Fed through drastically stepping up central bank gold stock at the PBC.  But, in the meantime, the race to the bottom of the currency graveyard for the world’s major currencies will continue until that fateful day, when the global system is forced into a ‘big reset’ to another currency regime.

“These things [global currency devaluations] can go on, as I’ve show, historically, for 10 or 15 years,” says Rickards.

“Nobody wins.  All get is, either, global inflation or contraction of world trade if the currency wars turn into trade wars,” he adds.  At some point, “the system breaks down.”

But, “we’re some years away from that.  These currency wars will continue,” he says.

When Keiser likens last week’s Fed QE3 announcement to a “pre-avalanche moment” for the dollar, Rickards agrees.

Yes, “we are in a pre-avalanche moment, Max,” he says.  QE3 is a “suicide mission for the dollar.”

All you “have to do is look down the road and envision a Fed balance sheet that has, perhaps, $5 trillion of base money, up from about $3 trillion, today.  That’s sort of where we’re heading,” he adds.

So, China’s race to stockpile gold, in earnest, is on, according to Rickards.  China needs to acquire more gold reserves to earn a place at the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) table at the time when a new global currency regime is negotiated.

China wants the yuan to be included within the new global currency, necessitating an appreciable increase in the PRC’s gold hoard of an estimated 2,000 tons.  No gold, no inclusion.

“We don’t know exactly how much they have, but China is the largest gold importer in the world,” Rickards explains.  “They are the largest gold producer in the world.  Their mines are producing 300 tons a year, that is by far the largest in the world  Where are that 300 tons going?  Some of it’s going for domestic purchases, but a lot of it is going to the central bank.”

“To just look at the U.S. in the eye, they actually need 4,000 tons,” he says.

“This is just going to put upward pressure on gold prices for years to come, and my estimate is it will get to $7,000 an ounce, not next year, not immediately, but sooner than later.  That’s my target price for gold.”

Silver: The Trade of a Lifetime, But Leads to a Life of Crime

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Two camps exist, those who know the silver price will strike many multiples from today’s $35, and those who don’t.  With the overwhelming majority of investors falling into the latter camp, early birds to the silver market will become stinking rich.

Here’s why the above statement is no hyperbole.  Consider the impact on the silver price from Fed monetary policy.

Mom and pop (M&P) investor don’t know that so-called “QE3” is unlike any emergency monetary plan of the Federal Reserve.  Thanks to Congressman Ron Paul, M&P has only recently discovered that the Fed is not a federal government institution—as in students of Econ 101 already know.  And now M&P must learn of the implications of the Fed announcing that there will be no limit to its balance sheet?

In an almost unanimous vote, the FOMC announced last week it will purchase the most toxic assets of the banks—and, in unlimited quantities.  No limit.  That means there is no limit to the dollar’s decline.  Period.  Mom and pop may have heard someone talk about that, but all this talk of financial Armageddon will be dismissed as another Cassandra who’s taken to the airwaves to sell gold from some dodgy Internet outfit.

M&P don’t know and will never know the subject of money.  M&P have never heard of Jim Sinclair and, if they did know who he is, they wouldn’t know what “QE to infinity” means anymore than they understand how a television works.  M&P just know everything will be all right in the end.

M&P will not take action because their son or daughter told them to take action.  Their son and daughter aren’t “experts”, nor are these ‘kids’ on television.  M&P need a friendly newscaster or other celebrity, like an Opra, to tell them what to do.

And that’s where M&P will make you rich.

When the price of silver becomes mainstream news for weeks and months at a time, it’s all over for the cartel’s already remote chance of suppressing the price of silver.  When M&P’s favorite newscaster starts broadcasting the emergency steps they should take to ‘fight inflation’, the lines will begin to form outside the local bullion dealer.  Business at Goldmoney and Sprott Asset Management will boom.

Instead of your local Home Depot running out of ¼ inch plywood as prudent homeowners prepare for some hurricane, bullion dealers won’t have bullion to sell either.  That’s when there’s no limit to the price of silver.  The mania of all modern-day manias will begin.

But . . . for the fly in the ointment.

The silver mania will explode into a national story so large that the national dialogue will suddenly turn ‘official’.  Anyone possessing silver will be painted as an enemy of the state.  There will come a day when the National Security Advisers recommend outlawing private ownership of silver, and the law to make it happen has already been signed by the president.

On March 16, President Obama signed into law The National Defense Resources Preparedness Executive Order.  Contained within the EO is the clause which allows the president to “take actions necessary to ensure the availability of adequate resources and production capability, including services and critical technology, for national defense requirements” in the event of a “potential threat to the security of the United States.” [emphasis added].

The term “critical technology” can point to many things, such as national security technology, for one, but not necessarily the resources required for the technology behind building cruise missiles, though important as it is; the vital national security issue is, and always has been, energy—alternative energy, in the case of the 21st century.

M&P don’t know that windmills and solar panels MUST contain silver, the metal best known for its thermal transfer and electrical conductivity (at a relatively economic price).

“Silver, it’s more than precious; it’s a critical, vital metal,” Leeb told King World News during the weekend of Mar. 11.  “You cannot run the world without it as the world stands today.”  See entire BER article.

Though the U.S. has been remarkably negligent in its preparation for the post-carbon era, China, on the other hand, has not.

“The Chinese are frantic about building out renewable energies.  Frantic, because they see the peak in oil.  Frantic, because they see next decade peak in coal,” Leeb continued.  “So what are you going to replace coal and other hydrocarbons with, if not wind and nuclear . . . you’re going to need all of the above in massive concentrations.

Leeb went on to say that silver will soon become a strategically vital metal to the U.S., which can only mean one thing.  You can’t have any.

In December 2011, Leeb told GoldSeek Radio, “Silver is an utterly critical metal when it comes to renewable energies, solar panels; there’s no other game in town . . . Silver-based solar is going to play a major part in our energy future . . .

“China used to export silver, now they’re importing, and they are very big importers.  And they [China] went on to say that they’re not going export any silver what so ever.”  Though China recently relaxed its strict export quota of rare earths, silver was not included in the increased export quota.”  See BER article.

“I do believe [$200] is not an unreasonable target” for silver, Leeb continued.

“But the problem is, once it reaches one hundred [dollars], people start getting very, very nervous.  It’s a very, big broad round number and they [bankers and/or government] start taking action; they might consider outlawing the ownership of silver as a monetary metal.”

Prepare for that day.  In the not-too-distant future, silver will become illegal to own.  Incorporate that eventuality into your overall protection from a federal government gone fascist.  It’s not enough to be right; you must now become an ‘outlaw’ of a lawless and out-of-control America.

There are no laws, now.  Have no guilt or fear, just do what is necessary to insist on your right to survive and thrive.  Any law to deprive you of your rightful property will be ignored and resisted by countless Americans.

Some stooge who happens to reside at the White House is not your law; the U.S. Constitution of the United States is your law.

Little Doubt! $3,500 Gold Price, a Minimum

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

To the ‘man on the street’, a price target of gold $3,500 must sound to him like the typical hyperbole of gold peddlers.  It must; sentiment of the gold-market-ignorant American public of the future price of gold still remains  low.

As Bill Murphy’s GATA has said, “They don’t even know how to spell gold.”

That’s because the public really has to see the effects of the Fed’s QEs.  In fact, a relatively few Americans haven’t an idea what so-called ‘quantitative easing’ truly means to him, personally, just as few understood similar Fed monetary practices orchestrated by Arthur Burns and William Miller during the inflation-roaring ’70s.  But he sure will see how inflation is eroding his lifestyle in the coming months—starting with a much higher oil price, and his coincidental savior, gold.

But something convenient for the monetary ‘authorities’ just happened.

A day before Bernanke pulls the trigger on indefinite purchases of mortgage-back debt, anti-American sentiment suddenly flares up in the Middle East and North Africa.

Coincidental?

The thinking behind the “there’s no such thing as a conicidence” may be driven by the assumption that Bernanke and his handlers knew that during the aftermath of the collapse of Lehman, AIG and the rest, the talking point, that the threat of another dip in the housing market will lead the U.S. economy into ‘deflation’ can only be told for so long.  Bernanke knew that food and energy prices are poised to soar faster than these dollar-sensitive ‘things’ rose during the 1970s.

Thinking that the Fed believes its own BS regarding the living costs of the average American reveals profound ignorance of the Fed’s real mandate, especially at this late stage of the Kondratiev debt cycle.  That mandate is: to protect its member banks.

And protected they will be.  With the Fed coming in at the last moment to cope with the mess at JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley, the effects of an addition of $1.3 trillion (estimated by the close of calendar year 2013) expansion of the central bank’s balance sheet in the coming months will necessitate a new mantra from the Fed and MSM to now explain rapidly increasing food and energy prices during a global recession.

This time, China, alone, can no longer be blamed for stubbornly high oil prices.  Its economy is dropping like a stone, too.  Therefore, a new scapegoat for the future price of $150 to $200 per barrel of oil will emerge in the Middle East and North Africa, instead.  It will be called, either the “Arab Fall” or “WWIII”.

With the latest Fed announcement, it should be abundantly clear by now: the Fed is intentionally debasing the dollar, and it appears that the central bank will continue to debase the dollar until it fears a currency collapse—a course that Ron Paul said is a “detachment from reality,” after hearing of the press release of Fed’s FOMC meeting decision, Friday.

The Fed lives in reality, and it knows what it’s doing many months ahead of a carefully coordinated plan of public distraction.

There’s little doubt; gold will take off and begin the final stage of this tremendous secular rally.  Today’s low sentiment among mom and pop for holding gold will change this year and accelerate in 2013, taking gold to great heights.  Gold has reached new highs against the Indian rupee and near-highs priced in euros.

As far as the dollar, an ultimate price target for the gold price of $2,000 will turn out to be much, much too low.  It’s much more likely that Egon von Greyrz’s target price of $3,500 to $5,000 within 18 months will make much more sense, in retrospect.

Here’s why.

The following chart provides a rational for a target gold price of $3,500.

As an example of the Swiss economist and money manager Marc Faber comments about the effects of inflation, the chart (above) shows that inflation doesn’t manifest in all markets at the same time.

In the chart, the data show inflation had flowed into the oil market months following the peak in the gold price at the end of 2011 through to today.  The expected next rally in the gold-to-oil ratio is poised to test the Aug. 2011 high of 24.  But, instead of oil surging while gold was coming off its Apr. 2011 all-time high, today, both ‘commodities’ are expected to move much higher as a result of QE++, with the gold price outperforming the oil price by a considerable clip.

With predictions of a minimum oil price of $150 as a result of the Fed’s new QE-to-no-limit plan (to north of $200 in the event of an attack on Iran) and the multiple of the all-time high gold-to-oil ratio of 24 applied to the oil price, the gold price calculates to $3,600.  In the event of a $200 per barrel handle, $the target price moves up to $4,800.

Jim Rogers & Marc Faber Agree, Bombs Away

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Investors waiting for an official announcement of another round of Fed balance sheet expansion may be losing ground in the next leg up in precious metals prices—and in oil and other commodities prices.

Don’t wait for the shot to be heard.  Place your favorite dollar-destruction trade now before the mom-and-pop investor as well as the institutional money manager catches on to the next stage of deceptive practices of the Fed.

There’s no alternative to more money ‘printing’, according to Jim Rogers of Rogers Holdings and Marc Faber of Marc Faber Limited.

In the case of Rogers, he says the Fed desperately wants to avoid more “egg on their face” after two QE mistakes, while both men lead the publicly stated  comparison between Bernanke and his lead neo-Keynesian cheerleader Paul Krugman with France’s 18th century John Law.

“I do not know whether they will announce it [QE3] or not. They are a little bit embarrassed because they announced QE1 and QE2, and it did not work. So they may try to discuss it,” Rogers told the Economic Times.

“They may just continue to do it without getting egg on their face again, but they are going to print money, they are all going to print money,” he adds.  “It is the wrong thing to do, but that is all they know to do.”

Once a complimentary Fed policy tool for orchestrating global money flows, the coordinated actions to manipulate interest rates and issue communiques have now become a huge liability for Bernanke.

It’s now become apparent that $2.1 trillion of officially-disclosed money creation since the onset of QE1 in Dec. 2008 has not delivered that reliable Keynesian magic as hoped.  Instead, much of that fiat merely spilled over into the commodities and precious metals markets, in addition to propping up insolvent banks and U.S. stock markets.

As the monetary base expands while real GDP contracts, the Fed must now downplay the evidence of monetization from the layman the best it can.  Otherwise, the Fed becomes completely irrelevant to harnessing the market from the superhighway of hyperinflation.

“If you look at their balance sheets, you will see that something is happening, assets are building on their balance sheets and they are not coming from the tooth fairy,” says Rogers.

Early last week, Rogers told The Daily Telegraph that Bernanke & Company “probably have learned how to do things off balance sheet.  I have nothing to confirm this, but everyone else has learned how, so they probably have, too. This is just a comment on human nature.”

The Swiss money manager Marc Faber agrees with Rogers’ on the outlook for the Fed’s money printing activities in the wake of $1.5 trillion U.S. budget deficits—along with no plan in sight to drastically cut military and ‘entitlement’ programs.

With more wars on the horizon and an American political class comprised of two parties rolled into one oligarchy in bed with bankers, Washington’s will to alter the course of runaway consumer prices through the destruction of the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power is clear—and was made most clear to those paying attention to a failed Ron Paul presidential campaign and a Simpson-Bowles impasse.

“In my opinion, as far as the eye can see, the Federal Reserve will never again implement tight monetary policies,” say Faber to a gathering at the Mises Institute.  They will print and print and print.”

Faber goes on to say that the neo-Keynesians don’t acknowledge that excessive leverage and levels of debt in the financial system are the root cause of the four-year-long global recession, pointing out an eight-page dissertation by economist Paul Krugman published by the NYTimes.

In Krugman’s article, not one mention of the problem of an over-leveraged banking system and excessively indebted economy was made,  lead Faber to believe that the implication is: more of the same monetary drug is recommended.

“They cannot afford to have a debt deflation in a credit addicted economy,” Faber continues.

Thousands of years of monetary history show that the road to hyperinflation is political driven, with no politician or central banker (in the case of today’s monetary system) desiring to be in the driver’s seat when the system crashes from its own weight.  Each elected and appointed policymaker knows that the ramifications of hyperinflation include civil unrest, violence and revolution—either peaceful, or not.  The targets will be on their backs.

“I tell you, sovereign credit in the Western world, they’re all bankrupt,” states Faber.  “But before they officially go bankrupt and can’t pay, they’re going to print money and massively so.  That should be very clear.  That’s the easiest way politically to postpone the hour of truth.”

Americans may fear the truth, but they haven’t experience the pain that goes with that truth—a la Greece, Spain and Italy, to mention a few.  As the market for Spanish and Italian sovereign debt now soars along with precious metals, the markets agree with Rogers and Faber: there’s virtually no turning back for the Fed and its complicit partners in monetary crimes, the ECB, BOJ, BOE and SNB.

“Massive Storms” in Silver Market Before American Election, Silver $150

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Speculation of a post-presidential-election-central-bank-coordinated money bomb of fresh new cash from the Fed, the ECB and other central banks, appear to be just that: speculation.  That, according to a regular guest of Eric King’s King World News (KWN), Swiss money manager Egon von Greyerz.

The global central bank bailout and “the coordinated money printing I have been talking about for a long time is going to happen this autumn,” says von Greyerz.  “I can see an autumn with massive storms, Eric.”

Not only has the precious metals market sniffed out an imminent and overt global QE3 plan, the western bank cartel is presumably buying the Spanish 10-year bond ahead of the announcement, taking rates sharply down within a two-week period to 6.02 percent, from a 7.62 percent print of Jul. 24.  Buyers of the Italian 10-year nearly achieve the same performance during the same time period.

Those moves serve as a telltale sign that a money bomb will come before Novemebr.

“They [ECB and IMF] must do everything they can to eliminate counterparty risk because the counterparty risk in the system is massive,” adds Greyerz, which may include strong-arm tactics, according to Mail on Sunday American columnist Mary Ellen Synon.

She surmises that the ECB’s planned policy action of “outright market transactions”, as ECB President Mario Draghi called the debt monetizing scheme in an ECB press release this week, will contain provisions that include the classic IMF ‘carrot-and-stick’ approach to getting things done.

Synon suggestes that, instead of one of the PIIGS getting a bailout—first—before demonstrating agreed-to ‘austerity’ measures have produced results for an additional tranche, the ECB plans to wave money at the people of the country in question and wait for its political leadership to succumb to the pressure to allow the IMF to takeover the nation’s fiscal matters, just as all small Central American nations have had to endure when working with the IMF.

“Start with Spain.  Imagine Prime Minister Rajoy is finally forced to go for an official bail-out,” Synon states in her article, titled Draghi’s new plan to save the euro: ‘Goooood morning, Vietnam!’.

“He has been resisting it, apparently because bail-outs are for little people like the Portuguese and the Greeks, not for important Spain,” she adds.  “But Rajoy gets strong-armed. The EU-ECB-IMF troika designs a plan (which may or may not include IMF money). He has to sign.”

von Greyerz agrees, but falls short of speculating how the behind-the-scene politics will play out for a country like Spain to agree to unpopular cost-cutting measures at the nation-state level.

“There will be pressure from one country to the next,” von Greyerz continues, “and the ECB, European governments, the IMF, and the Fed, they will all be fighting to keep the system together and that will mean printing more money.”

Further speculation from other analysts is: if no signature to an IMF ‘package’, Rojoy must somehow resign to make room for another Goldman Sachs syndicate operator to take control of the country and sign—a la Greece.

All of that drama in Europe will take place before Nov. 6., according von Greyerz, who relays his recent observations of frantic activity in the paper gold market taking place behind the scenes.

Someone doesn’t believe any plan put forward by the ECB to stabilize the PIIGS will work, with a history of two previous plans by the troika having already failed.  This time, the big players are going for the physical gold, and its rumored that those creating a stir in the physical market come from the East.

“I need to add that we are now seeing a lot of fund managers and investors moving out of gold ETFs, and taking delivery of physical gold and holding it outside of the banking system,” he said.

“The reason for this is investors and asset managers are becoming deeply troubled at the thought of a systemic collapse, and the gold being encumbered inside the banking system in that circumstance.”

von Greyerz, KWN’s most bullish contributing analyst, believes the coming weeks will start the next leg higher in the gold price, with the bulls taking gold to bizarrely high levels as the result of the panic deliveries of physical gold and silver bullion (an observation also made coincidentally by one of Hat Trick Letter publisher Jim Willie’s sources).

“This move in gold and silver has barely started,” von Greyerz concludes.  “We will eventually see $100 up-days in gold, and silver will move several dollars in a single trading day.  So we will see an acceleration this autumn.

“We will reach these short-term targets of $50 in silver, and roughly $2,000 in gold.  But I would add that I expect gold to reach $4,000 to $5,000, and silver $150, without any major correction.”  The time frame for such a massive move, he has said in previous interviews with KWN, is 12 to 18 months.

Fed to Crash Markets Before Launching QE3

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Desperate to print Wiemar-style to fight off the most viscous Kondratiev Winter on record, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke may not satisfy ‘inflation trade’ onlookers at the close of his Jackson Hole speech scheduled Friday.  He may, instead, merely allow months of anticipatory front-running of stocks do the work of propping up asset prices for him.

And if investors don’t get the ‘all-systems go’ at Jackson Hole, there’s always the FOMC meeting of Sept. 12 & 13 to get the good news.  That’s when market volatility could move off the charts, maybe extreme volatility to the downside, according some Wall Street analysts.

“With the equity market pricing in a significant chance of QE3, stock prices are no longer as useful a signal to Fed officials. Should the Fed disappoint at its September policy meeting, the risk of a stock sell-off is high,” Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts wrote in a note to clients, Aug. 21.

“Some in the markets think that the Fed effectively targets equity prices, meaning that to predict Fed policy, one merely needs to track the U.S. stock market,” the analysts add.  “There is a curious circularity to this view, however: the Fed will not launch QE3 so long as stock prices are high, yet the stock market is high because it anticipates QE3.”

The old adage on the Street, ‘buy the rumor, sell the fact’, may be at play here. But if Bernanke plays too-hard-to-get with investors in the coming weeks, a nasty fall could be in store for the Fed chief—a fall that could outright overwhelm the NY Fed’s PPT and result in a stock market plunge akin to the Crash of 1987.  Maybe.

The chart of the S&P 500, Spanish IBEX 35 and Chinese SSEC shows the gaping chasm between U.S. stocks and two indexes represented by two economies with, again, divergent outlooks.  Spain’s fiscal outlook in coming years isn’t much different from the federal budget outlook for the U.S., while the Chinese $3 trillion war chest of reserves couldn’t be in a better relative position to survive the righting of the bogus ‘World is Flat’ global agenda.

Would Bernanke risk a market meltdown that snaps the notion of an eternal ‘Bernanke put’?  Is he that confident that the remaining holdouts of an obviously rigged market will plunge the world economy into the anticipated financial Armageddon—before a U.S. presidential election?

The answer may be a shocking, even cockamamy—YES and YES!  And it may not be that much of a risk.  A surprise ‘not yet’ to further money printing at Jackson Hole and the FOMC meeting could be forthcoming.

Consider the geopolitics in the Middle East, and contemplate the dire political tug-o-war between Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Barrack Obama regarding Iran.  Netanyahu insists military action against Iran be taken before the U.S. election in November, while Obama remains adamant that the issue surrounding Iran must wait until after the election—a stand which probably infuriates the warmongering neocons and bankers, who have since put their stock on Republican candidate for president Mitt Romney as their next bankster puppet.

And the white-hot ambitious, some say, narcissistic, Romney won’t be taking any chances leading up to what is expected to be a close election, if recent polls serve as a guide.  He may need a little help from a financial catastrophe to convince enough voters that they may have to believe in a different kind of change.

But first, Romney must take the pledge—for the record.

Jul. 29, he told a gathering of Israelis in Jerusalem:

“We serve the same cause and we provoke the same hatreds in the same enemies of civilization. It is my firm conviction that the security of Israel is in the vital national security interests of the United States . . .

“Israel and America are, in many respects, reflections of one another.  We both believe in democracy, in the right of every people to select their leaders, and choose their nation’s course. We both believe in the rule of law, knowing that in its absence, willful men will be inclined to oppress the weak. We both believe that our rights are universal, granted not by our government, but by our creator.”

Later in the speech, Romney spoke the magical words that signaled the Netanyahu regime that he, not Obama, is your man.

Stopping Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons “must be our highest national security priority” and “we must use any and all measures” to destroy that capability.

“Containment is not an option,” Romney added.

And because “both men [Obama and Netanyahu] share a deep dislike and distrust of each other,” writes Anshel Pfeffer of the leftist Israeli newspaper Haaretz, the Israeli and Anglo-American mutually aligned partnership in the petrodollar wars must not be jeopardized by a Commander and Chief not willing to do what’s necessary, in the eyes of the neocons, of course.

Therefore, Obama must go, leaving the banking cartel’s lead man at the Fed, Bernanke, to continue manipulating the markets, but this time, to the downside to throw the game for Romney and the neocons at this critical moment (for Israel) in the Middle East.  Bernanke can always come in with a bazooka money blast and ‘make things better’ for Wall Street while putting that one last lid on the gold price (maybe) before the out-of-control launch of the yellow metal truly begins during the first year of a Romney first term.

“If the S&P drops 150 or 200 points, you can be sure that there will be more QE, not only QE3 but QE4 and so forth,” Swiss money manager Marc Faber tells GoldSeek Radio this past weekend.

But, not to worry. QE is coming, but a little politics comes first to nail down decades-long geopolitical strategy in the oil patch concerning a much bigger war between the U.S., Russia and China regarding the U.S. dollar and the gold price.

Though Faber doesn’t speculate on the upcoming Fed actions, he does state “it’s premature to say that this a genuine breakout” in gold and silver, and I “say that with great confidence.”

Gold: Brace for Bizarre QE3 Hail Mary and Hyperinflation

By Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

If a 1.53 percent yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries isn’t enough to spook investors of a global economy on the verge of implosion, Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies expects the Fed to aggressively respond by ceasing to pay interest on excess reserves held at the U.S. central bank—and removing all reserve requirements on purchases of sovereign debt.  Fed Chairman Bernanke has his sites on negative rates.  The gold bugs will surely like that.

The one-two punch of a bazooka QE3 of that size, the potential onslaught of capital fleeing into hard assets as a result of a no-reserve global banking system, could be more than the Fed bargained for, and clearly indicates how desperate central bankers have become to prevent the largest Ponzi scheme of history from collapsing, according to Pento.

“So let me put it together for your listeners,” Pento told King World News (KWN), Sunday.  “We have $1.42 trillion of excess reserves.  We are now going to be told that there will be no capital reserve requirements on owning sovereign debt. You will have commercial banks flooding the market with the purchase of sovereign debt.  Not just U.S. debt, Portuguese debt, Spanish debt, Greek debt, all of that debt will have zero capital requirements.”

In other words, the Fed intends to lower the rate of the riskiest of all sovereign debt while punishing cash hoarders of the least risky sovereign debt, because, surely, rates on the shorter end of the Treasury curve will turn negative and it’s hoped will move the 10-year Treasury that much closer to zero, as well.  Ditto for sovereign and commercial debt across the entire spectrum of the global credit markets.

That’s the plan, according to Pento, but the market reaction to such a desperate, high-risk policy move is expected to soar commodities and the precious metals, as the last step beyond a no-reserve requirement banking system is ‘helicopter money’ directly into the hands of consumers.

“Let me be clear on this, I’m not saying it could increase M2 money supply to $15 trillion, this could increase it by $15 trillion,” Pento continued.  “So we’re talking perhaps about $24 trillion.   It has the potential to increase to rapidly increase the global money supply, and it would be a tremendous boost to commodities, oil and precious metals.”

Pento’s expectations for such a move is consistent with earlier policy suggestions made by the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee in January 2012 (reported by zerohedge, Feb. 1, 2012), which stated in its report to the Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, “There was a lengthy discussion regarding the bid-to-cover ratios at recent Treasury bill auctions. It was broadly agreed that flooring interest rates at zero, or capping issuance proceeds at par, was prohibiting proper market function.

“The Committee unanimously recommended that the Treasury Department allow for negative yield auction results as soon as logistically practical.”

And it would make no sense for the Fed to impede the plan by requiring reserves on top of the U.S. Treasury actually charging bill and note holders of U.S. debt for lending the U.S. government money.  In this perverse environment of targeting negative interest rates, it’s become clear that the Fed has given up on the U.S. economy, and more broadly, hopes of the global economy pulling the U.S. out of its nosedive; Bernanke and Company are merely playing out a losing hand—a hand that ShadowStats economist John Williams has said will lead to hyperinflation by the close of 2014.  Lowering borrowing costs to offset lower tax receipts to service $15.8 trillion of U.S. debt in addition to the fiscal 2013 budget is the only option left open to the Fed.

“Outside timing on the hyperinflation remains 2014, but events of the last year have accelerated the movement towards this ultimate dollar catastrophe,” Williams said in an interview with KWN, Jan. 26, 2012.  “Following Mr. Bernanke‘s extraordinary efforts to debase the U.S. currency in late-2010, the dollar had lost its traditional safe-haven status by early-2011.  Whatever global confidence had remained behind the U.S dollar was lost in July and August [2011].”

Pento agrees, understating the Fed’s goal of negative interest rates—on top of zero reserve requirements—as “not a good idea.”

Pento said in his July 8 interview with KWN, “What he [Bernanke] needs to do is let the free market work, and I can tell you that unleashing $1.5 trillion into the American economy, and having that money roll-over and multiply (to $15 trillion), through the money-multiplier-effect, is not a very good idea.”

Indeed, it is not a good idea, but there is no other idea left for the Fed to execute.

Spot gold: $1,569 per Troy ounce.

Peter Schiff’s Latest Advice to Investors

Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Gold and silver investors watching metals prices move back down near to the Dec. 29 lows of $1,523.90 and $26.15, respectively, should seriously consider accumulating the metals now.   The ‘Big Reset’ of the global financial, slated for no later than 2014, will reward precious metals holders as the big winners among investors, according to Peter Schiff.

Speaking with Cambridge House International, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital said, “The United States is in a lot of trouble.”   After the Fed presumably embarks on QE3, and that stimulus wears off, “I think we’re going to have a crisis.  I don’t think we’re going to have time for QE4 or QE5.  I mean, ultimately, that’s where we’re headed, because that’s all QE does.  Each QE sows the seeds of the next QE.”

And global money looking for a safe haven won’t stand for another repeated currency debasements through debt monetization by the U.S. central bank.  Because Europe’s woes have forced politicians to make tough choices there, the spotlight has been taken off, temporarily, the even-more dire circumstances of debt loads and deficits of the U.S., according to Schiff.

Schiff’s time line for the Armageddon scenario of a U.S. dollar crisis matches predictions made by commodities legend Jim Rogers and ShadowStat’s economist John Williams, with each man projecting 2014 as the year the U.S. dollar no longer maintains its former role as the world’s premiere reserve currency—implying a severe decline of its global purchasing power and much higher metals prices.

In 2014, that’s the year the U.S. economy is expected to reach fresh new lows and the year politicians will finally be forced to face the tough choices regarding proposed cuts to federal, state and local government budgets, according to the three men.  It will also be the year that ushers in severe social unrest, similar to what is happening in Greece, in the case of Jim Rogers’ prediction for 2014.

Ironically, Schiff believes that if the U.S. economy miraculously digs its way into real economic growth, the bond market will sell off due to concerns of inflation from two massive QE programs from the Fed, driving interest rates much higher, along with U.S. borrowing costs—costs that will explode the federal budget deficit beyond the already red-line levels of 10-plus percent of GDP.  The dollar cannot survive under that scenario, according to Schiff.

“We don’t want to allow a real recovery, because that means real bitter-tasting medicine needs to be swallowed,” he said.  And added, no later than the year 2014, we’ll see “higher interest rates.  There’s going to be lower real estate prices, stock prices, some banks are going to fail, and the government is going to have to seriously cut spending dramatically to everybody.”

Under a Schiff scenario of deeper economic recession/depression, dramatic cuts to all levels of U.S. government spending will create a similar and immediate economic and financial death spiral, now faced by Greece, with reduced GDP coming from total U.S. government spending—presently 40.3 percent of GDP—further limiting the U.S. economy to pay on its local, state and federal debt, thereby initiating a feedback loop of further cuts and GDP declines, and so on—an unraveling of the Ponzi-like scheme warned of by Russian economist Nikolai Kondratiev in 1925, and later, by Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises, among others.

By the year 2014, like Jim Rogers’ longstanding ‘heads-you-win-tails-you-win’ investment theme as a result of continued stimulus (currency debasements) to fight the Kondratiev Winter (depression) or the immediate inflation unleashed from years of Fed balance sheet expansion, Schiff recommends holding real money—gold (and silver)—the only money that will survive the loss of confidence in all fiat currencies and the ability of the U.S. to make good on debt obligations.

“There is no short-term fix anymore, because we’ve been doing these short-term fixes for a along time,” Schiff concluded.  “We got a little extra rope from this European crisis . . . Something is going to happen in Europe, because this cannot go on indefinitely.  And the numbers are just so big for the U.S.  Interest rates have got to rise, or the Fed is going to have to print so much money to keep them from rising that inflation is going to flare up in a way that government numbers can’t hide it anymore.”

Therefore, Schiff’s advice: Avoid dollars and euros.  Buy gold, real “money”.